"Ruto's second term confirmed," said Steve Were.

 🔥 OPINION | 2027 Political Equation Already Sealed

With the emergence of Kalonzo+Natembeya as the flagbearers of the United Opposition and Ruto+Kindiki seeking re-election, the political calculus for 2027 is already crystallizing.

Like it or not, the writing is on the wall: William Ruto’s second term is politically inevitable.

I have consistently argued that the massive bloc of Gachagua’s diehard supporters will, in the end, rally behind Team TUTAM (Ruto’s camp) — driven not by loyalty, but by survival instincts. The Mt. Kenya region faces a stark reality: failing to align with Ruto risks losing both the Deputy Presidency and any meaningful stake in national leadership come 2027.

The WANTAM and TUTAM political slogans symbolized more than factions — they revealed the underlying struggle for regional leverage and political continuity. Those fault lines are now dictating voter behavior across central Kenya.

Here’s the reality — Gachagua’s fanatic base across Mt. Kenya will ultimately throw their weight behind Team TUTAM (Ruto’s) not out of loyalty, but pure political survival. The region simply cannot risk losing both the Deputy Presidency and any foothold in the next government.

Meanwhile, ODM officials publicly flirting with Ruto’s camp under the guise of demanding the DP slot is nothing more than a charm offensive — hollow and transactional. Their leverage pales in comparison to the sweeping influence of Mt. Kenya’s electorate and elected leaders, many of whom continue to follow Rigathi Gachagua with near-blind optimism, believing he’s the next flagbearer.

🧭 Bottom Line

My hypothesis is a strategic hit, not a miss.
It mirrors Kenya’s traditional electoral logic: incumbent advantage + regional consolidation = re-election.

However, if Gachagua fractures the Mt. Kenya vote or Kalonzo successfully converts his “sympathy” base into a solid block — the equation could narrow, not overturn, but narrow.

At this point, the die is cast. Every strategic move, alliance, and slogan has only cemented one outcome — President William Ruto’s second term in office is all but assured.

✍️ By Steve Were
#KenyaPolitics #2027Elections #RutoKindiki #PoliticalAnalysis #TheSavvyJournalist